Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.403231 0.467134 0.537165 0.619510 0.713586 0.817611 0.941253
2025-06-29 0.284300 0.367658 0.468580 0.599310 0.763683 0.962982 1.222392
2025-07-06 0.220396 0.309050 0.424489 0.584869 0.800825 1.080305 1.467984
2025-07-13 0.187074 0.280273 0.409030 0.598307 0.867535 1.234452 1.769591
2025-07-20 0.167744 0.266067 0.408980 0.629428 0.957888 1.425425 2.136510
2025-07-27 0.149715 0.250123 0.402939 0.649116 1.031472 1.597211 2.490219
2025-08-03 0.132123 0.231709 0.389912 0.655217 1.083364 1.739738 2.811535
2025-08-10 0.116021 0.213027 0.373480 0.652893 1.120201 1.860603 3.108101
2025-08-17 0.101511 0.194753 0.355031 0.644299 1.144684 1.962427 3.381280
2025-08-24 0.089390 0.178847 0.338359 0.636173 1.167998 2.062785 3.658580
2025-08-31 0.077242 0.161073 0.316039 0.615133 1.166076 2.119597 3.865983
2025-09-07 0.074079 0.160053 0.323946 0.649328 1.264655 2.355304 4.398054
2025-09-14 0.064194 0.144472 0.303005 0.628066 1.261451 2.414888 4.630608
2025-09-21 0.055925 0.131044 0.284639 0.609709 1.261907 2.481298 4.881978
2025-09-28 0.049175 0.119822 0.269209 0.595158 1.267708 2.557177 5.155908
2025-10-05 0.045807 0.115613 0.267738 0.608826 1.330392 2.745057 5.655732
2025-10-12 0.044235 0.115307 0.274516 0.640460 1.432352 3.016588 6.337674
2025-10-19 0.041851 0.112707 0.275901 0.660470 1.511767 3.249553 6.961008
2025-10-26 0.038700 0.107746 0.271324 0.666672 1.562130 3.427616 7.487119
2025-11-02 0.035321 0.101681 0.263415 0.664310 1.593322 3.568206 7.946295
2025-11-09 0.031919 0.095033 0.253283 0.655575 1.609294 3.677797 8.348573
2025-11-16 0.028909 0.088969 0.243818 0.647316 1.625370 3.788465 8.760821
2025-11-23 0.025560 0.081419 0.229659 0.625930 1.608700 3.826258 9.017969